Olympiakos vs Aston Villa prediction, betting tips and odds: Tired Villa look set for Athens elimination
Free Europa Conference League tips, best bets and predictions for Olympiakos vs Aston Villa. Plus a £40 BetMGM free bet offer
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Where to watch Olympiakos vs Aston Villa
You can watch Olympiakos vs Aston Villa in the Europa Conference League at 8pm on Thursday, May 9, live on TNT Sports 1
Match prediction & best bet
Olympiakos or draw double chance
1pt 4-5 general
Already advised
Olympiakos to qualify
1pt 9-4 general
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Olympiakos vs Aston Villa
Olympiakos 5-2
Aston Villa Evs
Draw 29-10
Odds correct at time of publishing
Olympiakos vs Aston Villa predictions
Aston Villa remain on course for a top-four finish in the Premier League but their hopes of winning a trophy could disappear in Athens against Olympiakos on Thursday.
Unai Emery's side went into the Europa Conference League semi-finals as competition favourites but their odds lengthened from 11-10 to 4-1 after last Thursday's dismal 4-2 first-leg loss at Villa Park.
Expectant Villa supporters approached the tie with high hopes having seen their team reel off six successive European home wins, but they were given a rude awakening with Olympiakos forging two goals ahead inside the opening 30 minutes.
Emery's side levelled the match with goals either side of half-time but the defensive errors kept on coming and Villa could have no complaints with the final score which leaves them with a mountain to climb.
While there was an absence of quality and composure from Villa last Thursday, a shortage of energy seemed to hold them back when they lost 1-0 at Brighton three days later.
The loss to the Seagulls is unlikely to cost Villa fourth place, although they need three more points to make absolutely sure and are far from certain to get them when hosting Liverpool on Monday.
Emery could do with freshening up his side but his options are limited by a worsening injury crisis.
Morgan Rogers suffered a hamstring strain just 25 minutes into the loss to Brighton and his pace and energy were missed as Villa lost the shot count 15-2.
Villa will need to be much more attack-minded in Athens but they are going to leave themselves open to being picked off by a well-drilled team boasting pace to burn on the counter-attack.
Olympiakos played a smart game in the first leg by choosing the right moments to press and forcing their opponents into mistakes.
It is hard to imagine their head coach, Jose Mendilibar, will make substantial changes to his tactics or personnel but he has a couple of welcome additional options with midfielder Andreas Ndoj and attacker Georgios Masouras back in the mix after one-match bans.
Olympiakos will also have the backing of a passionate home crowd desperate to see their team advance to a final which takes place in the same city later this month.
Mendilibar's men will need to manage the occasion and avoid the temptation to go into protection mode, but they are capable of delivering another strong performance and should finish the job with a bit to spare.
Key stat
Olympiakos have lost only one of their last eight matches
Olympiakos vs Aston Villa team news
Olympiakos
Andreas Ndoj and Georgios Masouras are available after suspensions but Ruben Vezo, Gelson Martins and Nelson Abbey are ineligible.
Aston Villa
Morgan Rogers (hamstring) has joined Boubacar Kamara (knee), Emi Buendia (knee), Tyrone Mings (knee), Jacob Ramsey (foot) on the sidelines and Nicolo Zaniolo (unspecified injury), Emiliano Martinez (thigh) and Youri Tielemans (groin) are doubts.
Probable teams
Olympiakos (4-2-3-1): Tzolakis; Rodinei, Retsos, Carmo, Ortega; Iborra, Hezze; Fortounis, Chiquinho, Podence; El Kaabi.
Subs: Ndoj, Richards, Masouras, Horta, El Arabi, Jovetic, Carvalho, Quini.
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Olsen; Cash, Konsa, Torres, Digne; Luiz, McGinn; Bailey, Diaby, Moreno; Watkins.
Subs: Diego Carlos, Duran, Lenglet, Iroegbunam, Chambers, Kellyman, Kesler-Hayden, Tielemans.
Inside info
Olympiakos
Star man Ayoub El Kaabi
Top scorer Ayoub El Kaabi
Penalty taker Ayoub El Kaabi
Card magnet Panagiotis Retsos
Assist ace Konstantinos Fortounis
Set-piece aerial threat David Carmo
Aston Villa
Star man Ollie Watkins
Top scorer Ollie Watkins
Penalty taker Douglas Luiz
Card magnet Matty Cash
Assist ace Ollie Watkins
Set-piece aerial threat Pau Torres
Olympiakos vs Aston Villa bet builder predictions
Olympiakos or draw double chance
Olympiakos can avoid defeat and ensure comfortable progress to the final in Athens.
Ayoub El Kaabi to score any time
El Kaabi increased his competition tally to eight with a hat-trick at Villa Park and he can stay on the scoring trail
Matty Cash to be carded
Combative Villa right-back Matty Cash has been booked in two of his last four appearances and looks a strong candidate for another caution.
Pays out at 12-1 with Paddy Power
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